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Our future, our voices, and your vote

justice
There is nothing quite like political predictions. Whether it’s Sarah Palin talking about Russia in 2008, or numerous Republicans and pundits talking about the retreat from Iraq in 2011, or even the polling for former Congressman Eric Cantor political predictions are always a matter of intense debate and attention. With the Republican Primary for the New York 22nd congressional district less than a week away, it seemed a good time to review the predictions made in this race.

One of the first things that should be noted is money. The first barrier to the race, mentioned in every meeting and many public speaking engagements that I had from April 2013 until I voluntarily exited the race to support Claudia Tenney. As many have heard me say, my predictions were:

  • 1) Rep. Hanna will spend 10-1 for his effort to get re-elected
  • 2) The race can be won by a challenger (implying myself at the time, and no different now) with $150,000

    Given those predictions, the reality is amazing on target.

    Rep. Hanna’s campaign, with the major help of his self-funding and a pro-gay marriage PAC, is spending $1 million on his re-election effort compared to the $111,000 of Claudia Tenney. With these figures, some estimates are calling the race even.

    The reason why I made those predictions, and why we are seeing them come true, is because Rep. Hanna is not (and I believe cannot) running on his record. He is refusing to debate because of what his voting record proves. He is avoiding presenting his record in his commercials (you can see that in my response to the Hanna’s Diner commercial – http://youtu.be/HANFCkolj5E). The public, and Republican voters, are noticing.

    Thus we have a race where Rep. Hanna has taken to mocking opponents, flippant disparaging remarks on his lack of response to challenges, and a general disregard for the will of the people who signaled their intense desire for comparison and choice when petitions were signed.

    In addition, predictions were made that this race would get national attention. As news media are now reporting, that is exactly the case.

    This race, in 2013, was considered a given for the incumbent. It was not seen as eventful. The expectation was a simple win for the incumbent based on the mere fact that he held a title and is independently wealthy. Neither of these reasons are credible reasons for anyone to be elected, let alone re-elected.

    Since that time, Rep. Hanna has revealed via his avoidance of his record, his votes for funding Obamacare, his push for immigration reform at the cost of 160,000 American jobs a year, his votes for late-term abortion, his votes to increase taxes and unlimited debt ceiling increases until 2015, Rep. Hanna has proven his liberal leaning and justified his rating as the 3rd most liberal Republican in Congress.

    This has lead to the interest of conservative groups, like an assortment of Tea Party organizations and the New York Conservative Party, the Gun Owners of America, Oathkeepers, NY Revolution and 2nd Amendment organizations, ShePAC, Fox News and more.

    That say nothing of individual conservatives like Laura Ingraham, Betsy McCaughey, Wendy Long, Carl Paladino and may others (of course including myself).

    At the same time, unexpectedly, Eric Cantor – another proponent of immigration reform like HR 2131 – lost his re-election bid to a massively outspent far more conservative opponent.

    National attention is firmly focused on this race.

    Lastly I predicted that Rep. Hanna is weak, and can be beaten.

    As I mentioned before, the Hanna campaign won’t discuss the record of a 2-term congressman in public. They won’t allow a debate on the issues and the voting record. In politics there is no greater signal of weakness.
    Which brings me to defeating Rep. Hanna. It is a reality ready to happen, needing only the active participation of Republican voters.

    There are some 160,000 Republicans in the New York 22nd District. In the past a mere fraction, less than 8000 votes, decided who would represent us in Congress. Apathy, lack of choice, the absence of a true conservative, accountable to the will of the people kept many away from voting.

    But on June 24th it can be different. There is a true choice. We have the 3rd most Conservative Assemblymember in NY State running. We have a mother of a Marine Officer, a small businesswoman, and a dedicated servant of the people available and willing to champion our causes on the floor of Congress.

    We just need to go and vote to put her there.

    I ask you, and the Republicans you know, to take a stroll on June 24th to your polling locations and take 5 minutes to vote. Make your voice heard across New York State and on the floor of Congress. Let’s, together, make a statement that money cannot buy an election, debates on the issues matter, and that re-election is a gift given only to those that have earned the privilege.

    Join me on June 24th, as we vote to elect Claudia Tenney and fulfill my final prediction.

    Sincerely

    Michael Vasquez
    Former NY 22nd Congressional District candidate
    Supporter of Claudia Tenney

  • Rep. Richard Hanna attacks with “bait & switch” tactic to avoid voters

    What do you do if you are an incumbent with a record of attacking your own Party, voting against the wishes of constituents, and supporting job creation for foreigners over Americans? In the case of Rep. Richard Hanna, you avoid any public instance of defending your record and instead try to distract voters. A classic bait and switch manuever, one of the very worst of immoral sales tactics.

    To be clear, on 4/21/14, WNBF News Radio and Time Warner Cable invited Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney and the incumbent to debate the issues. This is a critical offer as there is no Democrat in the race and whomever wins the NY Primary on June 24th will defacto be the next Representative in Congress for the NY 22nd Congressional District.

    Assemblywoman Tenney accepted. Rep. Richard Hanna made no comment. Until April 24th. That when he went on the offensive in an offense to voters.

    Rep. Hanna chose to try to steer the discussion away from the issue at hand, which is his voting record and positions he has taken. Instead he has attacked Claudia Tenney about doing her job as an Assemblywoman. He has tried to shift the race for the NY-22 to a race for the 101st Assembly seat – which is not even in question at this time.

    Hidden deep in the attack on Tenney was the following response about the actual issue, the debates, “A Hanna spokesperson says the Congressman has neither officially accepted nor refused the offer to debate.”

    Neither refused or accepted? Which is it? Why is there such ambivalence?

    Still, the response is not shocking. Rep. Hanna took the same stance in the summer of 2014, while the nation and the world took a position on the unilateral actions of President Obama and Syria. At the time I stated,

    “[Hanna] is 1 of 2 Republicans, and 1 of 16 members of Congress representing New York State, that have clearly stated they have no position on the issue at this time.

    When the use-of-force resolution is finalized, I will review it closely to determine whether or not actions enabled by it advance vital interests of the United States and are in the best interest of upstate New Yorkers” – Rep. Richard Hanna 9/4/13

    …@electvasquezny – “Leadership is not about winning every battle or being right in every debate, its about decisiveness in the face of ambiguity.”

    Of course Rep. Hanna learned from his honest portrayal of his bandwagoning attempt in 2013. Thus we see that in 2014, rather than take a stand so that voters can actually evaluate him, he has chosen to deflect away from the issue. He is actively hiding from the voters – a sure sign in my mind that he is aware that his record will cost him the election if anyone looks at it.

    Once again Rep. Hanna assumes that the public is too dumb to see his actions for what they are, and he hopes (I believe) that they are too apathetic to take action in the Primary in June. I believe he is wrong on both counts.

    The NY-22, and America as a whole, deserve to have politicians that are willing to stand up and be accountable. Congress is rife with manipulators that are only successful at maintaining their own positions of power, and the approval rating reflects this. It is well beyond time that we see principled, consistent, accountable representation on the floor of Congress.

    The fact that Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney has a record that confirms this is a threat to the re-election of Rep. Hanna, and thus – without a record of consistency or even publicly supported positions – the Hanna campaign is resorting to dirty tricks and mudslinging.

    I think we can clearly see why he won’t take a position on a debate.

    Press Release – Michael Vasquez to exit NY-22 congressional race

    For immediate release
    For questions or comment please contact 6072429247
    ********************************************

    Binghamton, NY – 4/2/14
    a4-2.jpg

    After a year of effort to draw attention to the inconsistent votes, flip-flops on issues, and contradictions in public statements that have been the signature of the tenure of Rep. Richard Hanna, Conservative Republican Michael Vasquez will be stepping aside to allow a focused and unified effort to unseat the self admitted Moderate.

    Mr. Vasquez stated,

    “Once Assemblywoman Tenney joined the election, I took some time to re-evaluate the political landscape, setting aside my ego and focusing on the best result for the public. My conclusion was that a race between the incumbent, Assemblywoman Tenney and myself would fracture the vote – which is to the disadvantage of the District. Thus I am devoting my voice and efforts to a unified challenge under the banner of a consistent, clear, accountable candidate that holds the same convictions and priorities that I and the people of the NY-22 hold – Assemblywoman Tenney.”

    Mr. Vasquez, a small business owner and political commentator further stated,

    “This is not a loss for me, nor is this a victory for Rep. Hanna. In exiting the Republican Primary for the New York 22nd Congressional District I am helping Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney achieve the goal that motivated me to run for this elected office – defeating an incumbent that has little connection to the public he is sworn to represent.”

    Michael Vasquez is a former Marine Reservist, former stockbroker, current auto insurance agent, and small business owner that has engaged in political commentary for almost a decade. In April 2013 He created an exploratory committee, and determined that a significant portion of the NY-22 disagreed with the incumbent on the issues and votes the incumbent has taken. In November 2013 Mr. Vasquez announced his run for the NY-22 congressional seat on the Republican ticket.

    Though no longer a candidate, Mr. Vasquez intends to continue to fight for an accountable Congress, and repeal of laws – like Obamacare and the NY Safe Act – that have been forced upon a public that never wanted them. Mr. Vasquez will be speaking at an anti-NY Safe Act rally on April 12th.

    Press Release: Assemblywoman Tenney enters NY-22 congressional race

    For Immediate Release
    From the campaign of Michael Vasquez for Congress – contact 6072429247 for comment or questions
    ************************************************************

    On 3/26/14 Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney announced that she officially has entered the race for the NY 22nd Congressional District. This now means that there are 4 potential candidates, in a race that has no Democrat challenger.

    At this time there is no Democrat announced or seeking petitions to our knowledge. This elevates the June 24th primary vote to a de facto election – the winner of which will be the presumptive Representative in Congress for the district.

    We feel that Assemblywoman Tenney joining the race only emphasizes the position that candidate Michael Vasquez has made since announcing his exploration committee in April 2013. The New York 22nd district is in need of an accountable voice in Congress that reflects the views of the public and is consistent in supporting the core values of constituents.

    Candidate Vasquez stated,

    “I count as a success the entrance of Assemblywoman Tenney into this race. The bar has been raised and the attention on this race, both across the State and nationally, has increased exponentially. Rep. Hanna can no longer try to avoid discussing the issues and flip-flopping on his positions.”

    Michael Vasquez went on to state,

    “I will evaluate this change in the political landscape, with a focus on what is the best opportunity for the people of the NY-22 to receive the leadership and strength of convictions that are currently absent our congressional seat, in my opinion. This has never been about ego, and my decisions going forward will be based solely on what is best for the nation and the people of the district.”

    Michael Vasquez created an exploratory committee on a potential run for the NY 22nd Congressional seat in April 2013. November 18, 2013 Mr. Vasquez announced in Binghamton and Utica his intention to officially run for this elected office. Since that time he has spoke to news media (nationally and statewide) and the public on getting out the vote to improve the representation in Congress for the NY-22.

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